Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | 345 | 99.0¢ | $340 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 220 | 96.2¢ | $217 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc |
| Yes |
| 116 |
| 90.7¢ |
| $114 |
| — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 100 | 92.0¢ | $99 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 49 | 98.1¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 40 | 96.2¢ | $39 | — |
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Paraná · 1 event · $960 in play