Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | 345 | 99.0¢ | $338 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 220 | 96.2¢ | $216 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 116 | 90.7¢ | $114 | — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 100 | 92.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$4.99 per $100 · 1,435 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 49 | 98.1¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 40 | 96.2¢ | $39 | Proven+$19.40 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 14 | 93.3¢ | $14 | New96 settled bets |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 99.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 250 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 221 | 8.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 205 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1b4d…c84e | Yes | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 45 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | No | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Paraná · 1 event · $961 in play