Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 61 | 92.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 46 | 95.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 40 | 92.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Thesickest0xcb23…8189 | No | 9 | 92.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 406 | 7.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 3 | 90.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Bahia · 1 event · $2.61K in play