Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 380 | 94.2¢ | $378 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 169 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 155 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 60 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.