Market · 1 of 8 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 8 outcomes add up to 102.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $141K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mr52global0x2344…6458 | Yes | 21,956 | 47.9¢ | $10.8K | New5 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 19,664 | 55.9¢ | $10K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 12,669 | 40.1¢ | $6.21K | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
| SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e | Yes | 10,530 | 47.5¢ | $5.16K | Losing−$5.42 per $100 · 344 bets |
| 0xc728…3e5b | Yes | 6,897 | 44.8¢ | $3.38K | — |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 4,358 | 48.0¢ | $2.14K | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 1,758 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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