Market · 3 of 8 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 4,395 | 85.3¢ | $3.75K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 4,107 | 89.2¢ | $3.5K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 16,107 | 12.8¢ | $2.37K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 471 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 2,237 | 85.2¢ | $1.91K | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| valetecaolho0x162f…978f | Yes | 11,393 | 13.3¢ | $1.67K | — |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | No | 1,743 | 84.0¢ | $1.49K | — |
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $141K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 8 outcomes add up to 102.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.