Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 8 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 665 | 94.2¢ | $652 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 406 | 99.1¢ | $398 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| valetecaolho0x162f…978f | Yes | 16,706 | 1.8¢ | $326 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | Yes | 6,439 | 0.3¢ | $126 | — |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 80 | 99.0¢ | $78 | — |
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $141K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.