Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 2,282 | 96.0¢ | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 500 | 92.4¢ | $481 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| 92.3¢ |
| $193 |
| Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 109 | 94.2¢ | $105 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| vxseven0xd4f2…dcb2 | No | 937 | 17.6¢ | $35 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 20 | 75.8¢ | $19 | — |
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Roraima · 2 events · $5.19K in play