Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 2,282 | 96.0¢ | $2.18K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 500 | 92.4¢ | $478 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 200 | 92.3¢ | $191 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 109 | 94.2¢ | $104 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| vxseven0xd4f2…dcb2 | No | 937 | 17.6¢ | $41 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 20 | 75.8¢ | $19 | — |
| ragalita0xd56c…12b4 | Yes | 20 | 97.0¢ | $19 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 403 | 4.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 17 | 41.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 12 | 13.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,844 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 240 | 6.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| iusnaturale0xbd06…a6f5 | Yes | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 200 | 4.3¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 147 | 6.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 144 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.90 per $100 · 585 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 100 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| jc8wupvy5r560x7919…ee88 | Yes | 3 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 63 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 60 | 6.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 44 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 38 | 3.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| flagsincircle0x4d15…78db | No | 14 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | No | 0 | 6.9¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Roraima · 2 events · $5.19K in play