Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 198 | 95.4¢ | $193 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 170 | 97.7¢ | $166 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 44 | 89.4¢ | $43 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 9 | 89.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 163 | 7.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 105 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Pernambuco · 1 event · $758 in play