Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 198 | 95.4¢ | $194 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 170 | 97.7¢ | $167 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 44 | 89.4¢ | $44 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 9 | 89.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 163 | 7.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 105 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 60 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 54 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Ekvelazquez0xd223…8c26 | Yes | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| closethething120xd666…0027 | No | 1 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Pernambuco · 1 event · $758 in play