Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y51500x36e8…2070 | Yes | 5,456 | 87.4¢ | $4.94K | — |
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 1,582 | 79.2¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e |
| Yes |
| 1,388 |
| 85.3¢ |
| $1.26K |
| Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 434 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 819 | 71.7¢ | $741 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 431 | 47.1¢ | $390 | — |
| Trowah0x6518…b97c | Yes | 229 | 87.7¢ | $208 | — |
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.