Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y51500x36e8…2070 | Yes | 5,456 | 87.4¢ | $4.94K | — |
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 1,582 | 79.2¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | Yes | 1,388 | 85.3¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 434 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 819 | 71.7¢ | $741 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 431 | 47.1¢ | $390 | — |
| Trowah0x6518…b97c | Yes | 229 | 87.7¢ | $208 | — |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | No | 1,462 | 12.5¢ | $139 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 110 | 77.4¢ | $100 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| Blue-Horseshoe0xc676…f35c | Yes | 101 | 76.8¢ | $91 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 100 | 91.4¢ | $91 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | No | 793 | 32.8¢ | $75 | New96 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | No | 727 | 6.0¢ | $69 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | 69 | 87.5¢ | $62 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 598 | 11.0¢ | $57 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 562 | 26.7¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 500 | 24.3¢ | $48 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 474 | 20.2¢ | $45 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 423 | 20.1¢ | $40 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 416 | 8.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | No | 403 | 15.2¢ | $38 | — |
| only-no0xd520…3040 | Yes | 30 | 80.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | No | 281 | 11.1¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 227 | 15.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 69.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 176 | 14.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.11 per $100 · 12,461 bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 16 | 69.0¢ | $14 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 142 | 13.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 120 | 12.0¢ | $11 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 120 | 14.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x6123…8b33 | Yes | 11 | 87.5¢ | $10 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 108 | 10.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | No | 103 | 15.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$28.39 per $100 · 1,221 bets |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 94 | 14.6¢ | $9 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 91 | 15.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 85 | 10.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,432 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 76 | 12.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 61 | 10.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 61 | 22.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 60 | 16.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xebe3…10d8 | No | 60 | 12.0¢ | $6 | — |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 6 | 70.8¢ | $5 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 52 | 21.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x13f5…e9a7 | Yes | 5 | 86.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 3,904 bets |
| 0x5059…6d95 | Yes | 4 | 70.8¢ | $4 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 30 | 10.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x132f…7cdc | No | 20 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 1 | 70.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 1 | 77.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Ekvelazquez0xd223…8c26 | Yes | 1 | 82.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc1d4…61a7 | Yes | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| kirani_liao0x4b65…957e | No | 10 | 10.4¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 10 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | Yes | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd45b…7ae6 | No | 2 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leadernew0x9c2d…1b16 | No | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,117 bets |
| cedriss0xe086…0450 | No | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| streetgy0x0f3a…317f | No | 0 | 8.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.