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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
| Market | Chance | Today | This week | Bet today | Room to trade | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 1% |
Chance is the Yes price: 62¢ means a 62% chance. Changes are in percentage points. Room to trade is how much you can buy or sell near today's price.
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 12, 2026, 21:40 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| +0.1 pts |
| −0.1 pts |
| $577K |
| $525K |
| 11/04 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 5% | +1.3 pts | — | $372K | $503K | 11/04 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 2% | +0.4 pts | +0.9 pts | $360K | $286K | 11/08 |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Politics · What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11) | 1% | −45 pts | −73 pts | $283K | $23.9K | 10/11 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 89% | +0.4 pts | — | $182K | $642K | 11/04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | <1% | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $175K | $180K | 11/04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 10% | +1.0 pts | +2 pts | $155K | $1.72M | 11/04 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 31% | −3 pts | −5 pts | $148K | $364K | 10/28 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $114K | $1.94M | 11/08 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Brazil Presidential Election | 87% | +0.6 pts | +3 pts | $108K | $906K | 10/05 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics · Next Prime Minister of Serbia? | 71% | +6 pts | +4 pts | $101K | $120K | 10/25 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the House in 2026? | 10% | — | +2 pts | $94.5K | $2.14M | 11/04 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 14% | −0.5 pts | +1.1 pts | $84.1K | $321K | 04/19 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Brazil Presidential Election | 13% | — | −3 pts | $80K | $1.63M | 10/05 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics · Texas Senate Election Winner | 36% | −2 pts | — | $79.5K | $438K | 11/04 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | 38% | −4 pts | +1.5 pts | $72.5K | $170K | 10/25 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 12% | +1.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $71.3K | $493K | 04/19 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | <1% | −0.1 pts | — | $69.5K | $239K | 10/28 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | 63% | +2 pts | −1.0 pts | $69K | $159K | 10/25 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 14% | −0.6 pts | −0.5 pts | $67.5K | $356K | 11/08 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 1% | — | — | $62.6K | $612K | 11/08 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | — | +0.1 pts | $60.3K | $921K | 11/08 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 6% | +0.1 pts | — | $58.8K | $456K | 11/04 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | 33% | +0.5 pts | +4 pts | $58.2K | $27.8K | 08/01 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 42% | +3 pts | −0.7 pts | $47.9K | $491K | 04/19 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics · Texas Senate Election Winner | 63% | — | −2 pts | $46.6K | $411K | 11/04 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Politics · Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...? | 17% | +1.5 pts | +3 pts | $45.5K | $201K | 07/01 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | −1.0 pts | −0.1 pts | $44.5K | $398K | 04/19 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | −0.1 pts | −0.5 pts | $41.6K | $312K | 04/19 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? | 6% | −1.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $41K | $99.3K | 01/01 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | — | −0.1 pts | $38.6K | $333K | 04/19 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · California Governor Election Winner | 4% | −0.2 pts | −0.4 pts | $36K | $158K | 11/04 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | −0.1 pts | −0.1 pts | $35.1K | $262K | 04/19 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 1% | — | — | $34K | $847K | 11/07 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | — | +0.2 pts | $30.1K | $310K | 04/19 |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | — | — | $28.5K | $992K | 11/07 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 2% | −0.4 pts | −0.5 pts | $27.4K | $270K | 04/19 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 3% | −0.1 pts | −2 pts | $26.7K | $196K | 04/19 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the House in 2026? | 91% | — | −2 pts | $25.7K | $2.24M | 11/04 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | — | −0.1 pts | $25.6K | $233K | 04/19 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | −0.1 pts | +0.2 pts | $25.3K | $170K | 04/19 |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics · Next Prime Minister of Romania? | 58% | −1.8 pts | +15 pts | $22K | $56.7K | 12/31 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 14% | +1.0 pts | +4 pts | $22K | $141K | 10/28 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 22% | +3 pts | +1.6 pts | $20.8K | $458K | 11/08 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics · Michigan Senate Election Winner | 31% | −1.0 pts | +4 pts | $20.2K | $176K | 11/04 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | — | — | $20.1K | $371K | 04/19 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | — | — | $19.4K | $964K | 04/19 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics · Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...? | 22% | +2 pts | +2 pts | $19.3K | $224K | 01/01 |
| Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | — | — | $19.1K | $984K | 04/19 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | — | — | $19K | $261K | 04/19 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · California Governor Election Winner | 96% | — | +0.1 pts | $18.7K | $102K | 11/04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 62% | — | −4 pts | $17.8K | $2.53M | 11/04 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 37% | — | +2 pts | $17.7K | $2.6M | 11/04 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | — | — | $17K | $2.76M | 11/08 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 64% | — | −2 pts | $16.5K | $2.25M | 11/04 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? | 10% | −0.3 pts | — | $16.4K | $428K | 11/04 |