Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| coockroach10xd6f2…e013 | No | 3,000 | 89.0¢ | $2.71K | New66 settled bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | No | 2,945 | 90.0¢ | $2.66K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | Yes | 19,902 | 10.2¢ | $1.9K | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 1,161 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 1,379 | 90.0¢ | $1.25K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $905 | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 823 | 90.0¢ | $744 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,254 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.