Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 4,802 | 85.7¢ | $4.01K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 3,101 | 84.9¢ | $2.59K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BondSolo0x9995…d0d3 | Yes | 1,400 | 85.0¢ | $1.17K | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 946 | 50.0¢ | $790 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 900 | 84.0¢ | $751 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,253 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 2,000 | 15.5¢ | $331 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.