Market · 1 of 54 outcomes
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 49 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98better0xa8a9…bb81 | Yes | 582,055 | 20.3¢ | $112K | New2 settled bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | Yes | 437,376 | 22.6¢ | $84.2K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| nextdayoff0xc772…45f5 | Yes | 253,757 | 29.7¢ | $48.8K | New5 settled bets |
| 0x312e…8604 | Yes | 250,614 | 20.2¢ | $48.2K | New5 settled bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | 161,070 | 24.3¢ | $31K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | No | 16,380 | 54.0¢ | $13.2K | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 114 bets |