Market · 2 of 54 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 90.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 16 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| machbut0xc2de…6781 | Yes | 438,322 | 12.5¢ | $57.2K | New42 settled bets |
| aaaaaaaaaa0x9e56…4199 | Yes | 221,966 | 7.2¢ | $29K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 31,636 | 86.5¢ | $27.5K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 5,656 bets |
| crystal20210x9764…c131 | Yes | 156,902 | 5.0¢ | $20.5K | New2 settled bets |
| Basemeta20x5663…63c1 | Yes | 155,298 | 6.4¢ | $20.3K | New16 settled bets |
| Katello0x8628…6f0b | Yes | 150,000 | 8.0¢ | $19.6K | New60 settled bets |
16 accounts bet both sides equally · 586K shares each side · Show
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