Market · 10 of 54 outcomes
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 90.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 17 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chp4200x6fe4…5781 | Yes | 1,250,000 | 2.3¢ | $21.9K | New0 settled bets |
| YuliaKyiv0xd428…6368 | Yes | 1,165,750 | 1.5¢ | $20.4K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,000 | 98.3¢ | $4.91K | Losing−$2.22 per $100 · 6,743 bets |
| last-train-20260x6d52…16c1 | No | 4,778 | 98.7¢ | $4.69K | New1 settled bet |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 3,014 | 97.8¢ | $2.96K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 2,671 | 98.3¢ | $2.62K | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
17 accounts bet both sides equally · 665K shares each side · Show
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