Market · 5 of 54 outcomes
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 90.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 32 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| patma0xa980…8080 | Yes | 290,840 | 6.6¢ | $21.4K | New7 settled bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 191,079 | 11.9¢ | $14K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x5375…aeea | No | 9,097 | 85.1¢ | $8.43K | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 109,991 | 10.0¢ | $8.08K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Zptml0xecb9…5a12 | No | 8,301 | 94.0¢ | $7.69K | New73 settled bets |
| stopgrowing0xfb83…77ee | Yes | 101,239 | 12.4¢ | $7.44K | New48 settled bets |
32 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.7M shares each side · Show
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