Market · 3 of 54 outcomes
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 89.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 17 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerbertAppreciator0x3cd6…18e4 | Yes | 307,028 | 2.3¢ | $31.2K | Losing−$6.17 per $100 · 122 bets |
| ISMS22220xc109…1ad2 | Yes | 226,314 | 8.0¢ | $23K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 25,000 | 90.1¢ | $22.5K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| schlomosgoy0x6e2d…6130 | Yes | 200,000 | 4.3¢ | $20.3K | New39 settled bets |
| Pugilist0xf689…8b15 | Yes | 139,682 | 11.5¢ | $14.2K | New43 settled bets |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 116,405 | 3.4¢ | $11.8K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
17 accounts bet both sides equally · 163K shares each side · Show
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