Market · 12 of 54 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF20280x7d56…4950 | Yes | 1,727,981 | 2.2¢ | $28.5K | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 66,316 | 0.7¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| Provo440x1414…4047 | Yes | 52,016 | 3.0¢ | $858 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 47,818 | 0.6¢ | $789 | New22 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 45,813 | 1.5¢ | $756 | New6 settled bets |
| expomax0x1e6a…9841 | Yes | 42,916 | 1.9¢ | $708 | — |
5 accounts bet both sides equally · 327 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.