Market · 48 of 54 outcomes
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 88.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 623,886 | 0.6¢ | $312 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,049 bets |
| LAROW0xc474…6061 | Yes | 500,000 | 0.1¢ | $250 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $101 | New22 settled bets |
| carrie600x4892…4704 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 166,449 | 0.8¢ | $83 | Losing−$1.23 per $100 · 16,076 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 125,156 | 0.2¢ | $63 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.