Market · 23 of 43 outcomes
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| expectingmore0x39d3…963d | Yes | 1,025,526 | 0.9¢ | $1.54K | New16 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 517,015 | 0.1¢ | $776 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 5,656 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 1,048 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.1¢ | $450 | — |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | No | 409 | 97.6¢ | $408 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| Bennito8877y0x901a…e5fd | No | 403 | 99.3¢ | $402 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.