Market · 11 of 43 outcomes
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,638,333 | 0.7¢ | $7.37K | New15 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,000 | 99.6¢ | $4.98K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.44K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 1,048 bets |
| Forrester260x1a85…c99a | Yes | 59,778 | 0.6¢ | $269 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 56,140 | 0.5¢ | $253 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 16,208 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 51,667 | 0.4¢ | $232 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.32K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.