Market · 6 of 43 outcomes
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 7 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 8,022 | 96.7¢ | $7.86K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 306,020 | 0.4¢ | $6.27K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | No | 6,287 | 95.7¢ | $6.16K | New67 settled bets |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 6,110 | 95.1¢ | $5.98K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| beachboy40xc2e7…be51 | Yes | 248,651 | 4.0¢ | $5.1K | Proven+$4.46 per $100 · 232 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 240,556 | 1.8¢ | $4.93K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
7 accounts bet both sides equally · 86.9K shares each side · Show
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