Market · 1 of 43 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 43 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98better0xa8a9…bb81 | Yes | 546,441 | 38.7¢ | $265K | New2 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 331,698 | 48.6¢ | $161K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| hose0xcc29…7774 | Yes | 151,121 | 40.5¢ | $73.2K | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 274 bets |
| GCottrell930x94a4…6356 | Yes | 146,779 | 48.7¢ | $71.1K | New41 settled bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | 122,601 | 43.7¢ | $59.4K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 114,005 | 36.2¢ | $55.2K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |