Market · 2 of 43 outcomes
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 11 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jsram0x8372…5223 | Yes | 310,556 | 22.0¢ | $45.8K | Proven+$6.97 per $100 · 261 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 295,957 | 0.4¢ | $43.7K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| hose0xcc29…7774 | Yes | 151,121 | 25.2¢ | $22.3K | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | 123,744 | 22.0¢ | $18.3K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| liruihao0x35dc…b9ef | Yes | 111,740 | 20.9¢ | $16.5K | New12 settled bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 108,884 | 23.1¢ | $16.1K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
11 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.1M shares each side · Show
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