Market · 7 of 43 outcomes
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 7,070 | 94.7¢ | $6.95K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 412,597 | 2.4¢ | $6.81K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,968 | 98.3¢ | $5.87K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 338,886 | 1.8¢ | $5.59K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,064 | 0.4¢ | $5.02K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| xiamms0x1dfd…6247 | No | 5,044 | 98.7¢ | $4.96K | New8 settled bets |
13 accounts bet both sides equally · 5.83K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.