Market · 7 of 43 outcomes
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 7,070 | 94.7¢ | $6.95K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 412,597 | 2.4¢ | $6.81K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,968 | 98.3¢ | $5.87K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 338,886 | 1.8¢ | $5.59K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,064 | 0.4¢ | $5.02K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| xiamms0x1dfd…6247 | No | 5,044 | 98.7¢ | $4.96K | New8 settled bets |
| 6terdgtr75eryftj0x3f3d…53fa | No | 2,995 | 98.6¢ | $2.95K | New15 settled bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 152,310 | 1.5¢ | $2.51K | New15 settled bets |
| DisHorizons0x6a8c…cbb0 | Yes | 121,226 | 2.5¢ | $2K | Losing−$12.98 per $100 · 186 bets |
| fed260xaf45…ec7d | Yes | 105,064 | 1.4¢ | $1.73K | New30 settled bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 100,000 | 2.5¢ | $1.65K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 1,514 | 97.2¢ | $1.49K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| dushen0090x0543…8d20 | No | 1,500 | 98.6¢ | $1.48K | New52 settled bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 77,680 | 3.9¢ | $1.28K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| Beto6660xcd72…dd73 | Yes | 73,813 | 3.1¢ | $1.22K | — |
| dsgfgre6546yhg0x8d80…9a42 | No | 1,128 | 98.6¢ | $1.11K | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 54,481 | 1.1¢ | $899 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 50,000 | 2.4¢ | $825 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 49,549 | 1.5¢ | $818 | New6 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 43,442 | 0.8¢ | $717 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 40,954 | 1.6¢ | $676 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | Yes | 38,595 | 1.4¢ | $637 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| masterofbd0xb3b5…518d | Yes | 36,676 | 2.7¢ | $605 | — |
| Kura11010x599f…4ce3 | Yes | 35,435 | 2.9¢ | $585 | New21 settled bets |
| Bordan-Jelfort0x162f…9309 | Yes | 30,884 | 1.6¢ | $510 | New59 settled bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 27,903 | 1.3¢ | $460 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Anonnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn0xefef…f1ea | Yes | 27,348 | 3.4¢ | $451 | — |
| 0x5f45…cabc | Yes | 27,273 | 1.1¢ | $450 | New32 settled bets |
| visuaL63HH0x0c1d…4bc5 | No | 447 | 98.5¢ | $440 | New16 settled bets |
| 0xd45b…29a6 | Yes | 23,000 | 2.3¢ | $380 | — |
| Tony.bober0xeaaa…81d6 | Yes | 22,241 | 1.7¢ | $367 | — |
| zucky0xb29c…0e87 | Yes | 19,173 | 5.2¢ | $316 | — |
| hgjkdfghkjfdjh550xcfc7…0b2e | No | 311 | 98.8¢ | $306 | — |
| Kevinkiyfv0xfa30…a4b1 | No | 305 | 98.5¢ | $300 | — |
| old--xri40xfe45…a342 | No | 300 | 98.7¢ | $295 | — |
| Sendeca0xc822…08f6 | Yes | 17,309 | 1.5¢ | $286 | — |
| ZelyaBENYA0xb183…bbce | No | 265 | 98.8¢ | $260 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 15,379 | 1.5¢ | $254 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| kaifu0x44f2…1415 | Yes | 14,800 | 1.5¢ | $244 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 1,239 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 14,476 | 1.8¢ | $239 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Amberaaa0x052c…16c6 | No | 209 | 98.6¢ | $206 | New27 settled bets |
| sjaihdfuf0xf7ce…93c8 | No | 203 | 98.6¢ | $200 | — |
| Lily20x3dc8…ee86 | No | 202 | 98.6¢ | $199 | New45 settled bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 195 | 98.3¢ | $192 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| KorKor5120x3314…96d0 | No | 193 | 98.5¢ | $190 | New50 settled bets |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 10,576 | 2.1¢ | $175 | New65 settled bets |
| Nanonim0x1702…809b | No | 173 | 98.5¢ | $170 | — |
| Funfzig0x5e9c…cd75 | Yes | 10,210 | 3.2¢ | $168 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 1,061 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 3.6¢ | $165 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| vishy27730x7245…f1c3 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.2¢ | $165 | Losing−$4.48 per $100 · 145 bets |
| randomen0x665b…32b1 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.0¢ | $165 | New36 settled bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 9,613 | 1.7¢ | $159 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| 0xd125…d74d | Yes | 9,587 | 1.8¢ | $158 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 8,362 | 2.7¢ | $138 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| 0x8d9f…08cb | Yes | 8,287 | 1.2¢ | $137 | — |
| macrogatekeeper0x6c87…e8fe | Yes | 8,000 | 1.9¢ | $132 | New2 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 7,500 | 3.5¢ | $124 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,365 | 0.8¢ | $122 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| 0xnft8880x4316…adee | No | 122 | 98.7¢ | $120 | New26 settled bets |
| IYUV5440x1676…2f70 | No | 119 | 98.5¢ | $117 | New6 settled bets |
| BleatingWeasel0xb264…eb03 | Yes | 6,829 | 1.4¢ | $113 | — |
| 0xcf94…aad7 | Yes | 6,250 | 1.2¢ | $103 | — |
| jjjjdsd20xa238…c28b | No | 103 | 97.5¢ | $101 | — |
| 46765576457878g0xb611…e78d | No | 102 | 98.4¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x4372…6a96 | Yes | 5,804 | 1.8¢ | $96 | Losing−$8.56 per $100 · 341 bets |
| olybal0x8026…7650 | Yes | 5,600 | 1.2¢ | $92 | New1 settled bet |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | Yes | 5,521 | 1.7¢ | $91 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 91 | 97.1¢ | $89 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 5,385 | 1.8¢ | $89 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| marksoc0x89fc…b5c2 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.8¢ | $82 | Positive+$11.13 per $100 · 360 bets |
| dreamingToBeAGuru0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.9¢ | $82 | — |
| 0xbeb6…1549 | No | 82 | 98.3¢ | $81 | — |
| FLTRQ66880x356f…040f | No | 78 | 98.8¢ | $77 | New12 settled bets |
| tyran233110xbf1c…1d2a | No | 77 | 97.3¢ | $76 | — |
| espot000x3555…e2a5 | Yes | 4,545 | 2.2¢ | $75 | New66 settled bets |
| twistedspike0x628c…9a55 | Yes | 4,493 | 2.2¢ | $74 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x081e…4027 | No | 75 | 98.8¢ | $74 | New8 settled bets |
| giatt40xfecf…4759 | No | 72 | 97.5¢ | $71 | — |
| j3r3mix0xbe0c…c73d | No | 67 | 97.3¢ | $66 | — |
| LBsport0x4d02…bfec | No | 65 | 95.5¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 13,738 bets |
| 4ddfgx0x8cef…6f66 | No | 64 | 98.3¢ | $63 | — |
| Pureprotein0x6187…8065 | No | 64 | 98.4¢ | $63 | New40 settled bets |
| johny550xf194…9ef9 | No | 63 | 97.3¢ | $62 | — |
| elvenmagic0x89b3…929f | No | 62 | 98.4¢ | $61 | — |
| VenesuelanOIL0x8e82…1427 | No | 62 | 98.4¢ | $61 | — |
| ssvss0xb991…a963 | No | 59 | 98.2¢ | $58 | — |
| ikaianamohit0x696d…ebf8 | No | 58 | 98.8¢ | $57 | New38 settled bets |
13 accounts bet both sides equally · 5.83K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.