Market · 29 of 54 outcomes
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 90.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 2,194,023 | 0.8¢ | $3.29K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 800 | 99.3¢ | $799 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 288 | 99.2¢ | $288 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 104,453 | 0.8¢ | $157 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| gieminus0x83c2…1193 | No | 119 | 99.5¢ | $119 | Losing−$4.85 per $100 · 104 bets |
| Overlook0xb787…8b0c | No | 102 | 99.1¢ | $102 | New36 settled bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.33K shares each side · Show
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