Market · 29 of 54 outcomes
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 2,194,023 | 0.8¢ | $3.29K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 800 | 99.3¢ | $799 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 288 | 99.2¢ | $288 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 104,453 | 0.8¢ | $157 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| gieminus0x83c2…1193 | No | 119 | 99.5¢ | $119 | Losing−$4.85 per $100 · 104 bets |
| Overlook0xb787…8b0c | No | 102 | 99.1¢ | $102 | New36 settled bets |
| ponik34120x9aa9…6983 | No | 101 | 99.5¢ | $101 | New79 settled bets |
| donaldholmes0xc549…b7c0 | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | $101 | New58 settled bets |
| georgemyers0x1212…0064 | No | 98 | 99.2¢ | $98 | New79 settled bets |
| ashleyreid0x7ff2…4f1e | No | 96 | 99.2¢ | $96 | New71 settled bets |
| jennifercabrera0x425f…80b5 | No | 93 | 99.2¢ | $93 | New86 settled bets |
| johnsonisaac0xcfe7…97fc | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| zdurham0xc7b0…7007 | No | 84 | 99.2¢ | $84 | — |
| torresevan0x1488…cf93 | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| danielandrews0xc34f…5f3b | No | 79 | 99.2¢ | $79 | — |
| f3ita0xe788…736b | Yes | 47,410 | 1.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$9.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| mezopotoamian410x989a…95b2 | No | 70 | 99.4¢ | $70 | — |
| muellerjessica0x7f34…d196 | No | 70 | 99.2¢ | $70 | — |
| kongtouaaa0x61c7…4b7d | No | 69 | 99.2¢ | $68 | — |
| calderondawn0xae41…f2b6 | No | 67 | 99.2¢ | $67 | — |
| meyeramy0x5c2e…eeae | No | 66 | 99.2¢ | $66 | — |
| roachchristine0x4222…c210 | No | 65 | 99.2¢ | $65 | — |
| nathaniel610x870e…e7c2 | No | 65 | 99.2¢ | $65 | — |
| martinkendra0x8a3e…3c1a | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| larry230xc328…1a9b | No | 63 | 99.2¢ | $63 | — |
| kundediaopiyan0x888a…fed6 | No | 60 | 99.0¢ | $60 | — |
| darrell820x1c95…a336 | No | 57 | 99.2¢ | $57 | — |
| dfhgfdfgr770x6424…4e23 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| qinghke0x5248…aa1a | No | 54 | 99.2¢ | $53 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,321 bets |
| cdvresvr0x643f…c385 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| Krzyj0xe1dd…a008 | No | 42 | 99.6¢ | $42 | — |
| 6fc145bc20x4a3d…4d18 | No | 41 | 99.1¢ | $41 | — |
| 622510x792d…81c0 | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $40 | — |
| eretgre0xbfe7…2334 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| kimberlymunoz0x8ab4…934d | No | 39 | 99.2¢ | $39 | — |
| dibaoa0x16c1…1fb3 | No | 38 | 99.2¢ | $38 | — |
| bfbdbt0x757d…aab6 | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| CD73f90xa310…e813 | No | 32 | 99.4¢ | $32 | — |
| deeposs0x6d18…2d4b | No | 31 | 99.2¢ | $31 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $31 | New41 settled bets |
| MLM7280x40ee…2c4e | Yes | 20,000 | 1.0¢ | $30 | New19 settled bets |
| Braaazzxx0x668e…1c09 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| jiandanai0xa59c…9c13 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| crazy5a220xfa98…9afb | No | 28 | 99.3¢ | $28 | — |
| buajio0x95d0…5df4 | No | 28 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| 0A99Ea0xb39c…c3e7 | No | 28 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 18,144 | 0.1¢ | $27 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,923 bets |
| electme0xee7b…ae7f | No | 27 | 99.3¢ | $27 | — |
| kkmall0x4c6d…904f | No | 26 | 99.3¢ | $26 | — |
| 07765C0xd08f…cb13 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| rnegie0x7e61…7b75 | No | 25 | 99.0¢ | $25 | — |
| daojones0xcd29…fd24 | Yes | 16,667 | 0.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 387 bets |
| keqpool0x9999…1f1f | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| florias0xd917…fee1 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 16,202 | 0.8¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,224 bets |
| 154566260x3943…3571 | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 11,907 | 0.4¢ | $18 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 10,278 | 0.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 10,000 | 0.9¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb799…06a1 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 9,880 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,600 | 0.6¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 9,133 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 6,557 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $9 | New65 settled bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.7¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 4,685 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,613 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| hgjkdfghkjfdjh550xcfc7…0b2e | Yes | 3,800 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| dehoupuke0x043d…47be | Yes | 3,500 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 3,333 | 0.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,190 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 3,021 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,600 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,586 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | Yes | 2,500 | 0.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| 0x55cc…8c91 | Yes | 2,107 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,604 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 1,530 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,110 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| 0xd41e…eba5 | Yes | 1,012 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Flint77440x1526…6a1a | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.8K shares each side · Show
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