Market · 3 of 43 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 83.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 15 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| baddestofthemall0x8217…9299 | Yes | 453,146 | 4.2¢ | $13.8K | New0 settled bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | No | 9,958 | 94.1¢ | $9.65K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 309,000 | 0.4¢ | $9.42K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 9,479 | 95.7¢ | $9.19K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 195,829 | 5.8¢ | $5.97K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 190,000 | 1.6¢ | $5.8K | — |
15 accounts bet both sides equally · 14.7K shares each side · Show
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