Market · 5 of 43 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 6 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 608,714 | 0.9¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 375,000 | 1.1¢ | $8.81K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 343,552 | 1.2¢ | $8.07K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 314,000 | 0.4¢ | $7.38K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 216,805 | 1.6¢ | $5.09K | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| TedforPrez290x33ce…fcc0 | Yes | 202,766 | 0.9¢ | $4.77K | — |
6 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.15K shares each side · Show
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