Market · 9 of 43 outcomes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,000 | 99.2¢ | $4.96K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $2.71K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.6¢ | $2.55K | — |
| peasant0x1c72…dfb6 | Yes | 270,937 | 1.6¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 346 bets |
| TangledUpInBlue0xe05f…b3e8 | Yes | 202,346 | 1.7¢ | $1.72K | — |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 196,229 | 1.1¢ | $1.67K | New15 settled bets |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.55K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.