Market · 9 of 43 outcomes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,000 | 99.2¢ | $4.96K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $2.71K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.6¢ | $2.55K | — |
| peasant0x1c72…dfb6 | Yes | 270,937 | 1.6¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 346 bets |
| TangledUpInBlue0xe05f…b3e8 | Yes | 202,346 | 1.7¢ | $1.72K | — |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 196,229 | 1.1¢ | $1.67K | New15 settled bets |
| caribbeangambler0x70bc…0c87 | Yes | 185,649 | 3.1¢ | $1.58K | New24 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 173,508 | 0.8¢ | $1.47K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| trumbbb0x234f…0d2b | No | 1,000 | 99.4¢ | $992 | New67 settled bets |
| Beto6660xcd72…dd73 | Yes | 111,383 | 2.8¢ | $947 | — |
| cao1cao0xca64…df74 | Yes | 74,633 | 1.3¢ | $634 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 64,539 | 0.5¢ | $549 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,317 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 44,218 | 0.8¢ | $376 | New6 settled bets |
| getter0x9aab…6a2d | Yes | 35,000 | 1.3¢ | $298 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 273 | 99.3¢ | $271 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Lily003pepe0x85b7…8f77 | No | 252 | 99.3¢ | $250 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $213 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | Yes | 25,000 | 1.9¢ | $213 | New9 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 24,401 | 0.8¢ | $207 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| Michael0jyf0x2ad7…b476 | No | 206 | 99.5¢ | $204 | New26 settled bets |
| Robert8Robert0x9e9a…cf6d | No | 203 | 99.5¢ | $201 | — |
| kokelin0x2334…cd00 | No | 201 | 0.0¢ | $199 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 2,021 bets |
| Boardwalk0x8214…ef72 | Yes | 23,392 | 1.8¢ | $199 | Losing−$6.96 per $100 · 1,251 bets |
| patrickreiss0xcd3c…a801 | Yes | 22,568 | 1.8¢ | $192 | — |
| Rulorulo0x60c2…ec07 | Yes | 20,985 | 1.5¢ | $178 | New13 settled bets |
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 20,000 | 1.6¢ | $170 | New68 settled bets |
| MateisLostDog0xe274…ee86 | Yes | 18,402 | 0.7¢ | $156 | — |
| mein-neger0x6876…c0eb | Yes | 18,313 | 1.6¢ | $156 | New2 settled bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 155 | 97.1¢ | $153 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| ZachB660xc880…8380 | Yes | 17,885 | 1.3¢ | $152 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 17,765 | 0.6¢ | $151 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $143 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 15,585 | 1.6¢ | $132 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Matthew12130x6d4b…d438 | No | 121 | 99.5¢ | $120 | New29 settled bets |
| 0xde5a…c78c | No | 120 | 99.3¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x4b5d…447c | No | 115 | 99.3¢ | $114 | New11 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $108 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| Bongrippr0x9631…29f1 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $106 | — |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.9¢ | $102 | Positive+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| J.k.0xcf10…5df7 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 11,222 | 0.8¢ | $95 | New13 settled bets |
| MattPMP0x02e8…d63e | Yes | 11,200 | 1.8¢ | $95 | New58 settled bets |
| 2315478450xbd94…a2d1 | No | 94 | 99.5¢ | $94 | — |
| 0xb50a…4fd5 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.7¢ | $85 | — |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 9,887 | 1.7¢ | $84 | New6 settled bets |
| Tridser0x5cec…7c61 | Yes | 9,590 | 1.6¢ | $82 | Losing−$9.52 per $100 · 1,135 bets |
| MoeZart0xf648…8232 | Yes | 9,000 | 1.7¢ | $76 | New46 settled bets |
| betujeme0xbc2e…03a7 | Yes | 8,714 | 1.4¢ | $74 | — |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 8,300 | 0.3¢ | $71 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 8,066 | 2.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| Xzibit690x0af4…89b4 | Yes | 8,062 | 0.7¢ | $69 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 707 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,018 | 0.8¢ | $68 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,293 bets |
| MK2k0x946d…93ae | Yes | 7,895 | 2.0¢ | $67 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 7,732 | 1.5¢ | $66 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| PishSauce0x98d6…41dc | Yes | 7,518 | 2.5¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xb441…7796 | Yes | 7,368 | 1.4¢ | $63 | — |
| 0xa6b5…026d | No | 63 | 99.4¢ | $62 | — |
| 53768453120x0248…80ac | No | 60 | 99.2¢ | $60 | New31 settled bets |
| dgragra0xb19a…85a8 | No | 60 | 99.4¢ | $59 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 6,589 | 2.8¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
| fpooxx4fpooxx40x81bd…cf80 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | New30 settled bets |
| mopxmshk0x512a…db6a | No | 55 | 99.1¢ | $55 | — |
| geph0x90c8…9617 | Yes | 6,152 | 2.6¢ | $52 | Losing−$1.61 per $100 · 314 bets |
| MantiManci0x803f…6bda | No | 53 | 98.7¢ | $52 | New28 settled bets |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $51 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| lingxiu0x9f37…562d | No | 51 | 99.4¢ | $51 | — |
| degrwyw0x03a5…b00b | No | 51 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New16 settled bets |
| cryptocarrier0x8c30…2ca7 | Yes | 5,882 | 1.7¢ | $50 | — |
| Shimolost0x199c…df8d | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New11 settled bets |
| simbat01tut0x1f80…adc6 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New7 settled bets |
| Behruzishe0x28b2…028b | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New6 settled bets |
| EHildingr624240x28b3…bfdb | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | New20 settled bets |
| Silvaman0x2d97…db99 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New6 settled bets |
| kotletadeneg0x3512…5ca1 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New15 settled bets |
| karmanik0x66e1…6bc0 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New9 settled bets |
| gilag0x6b5a…cb46 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | New14 settled bets |
| yutimj0x6be2…8cc4 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | New14 settled bets |
| sifon0x7d0d…4aac | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | New11 settled bets |
| lelikibolikxz0x91c7…9cfb | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| smasheradam0xab81…9f00 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| spanokopit821690xef4e…7dee | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x37f8…1207 | No | 49 | 99.1¢ | $49 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,607 | 0.6¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | Yes | 5,539 | 0.7¢ | $47 | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| 0x2010…e5fd | Yes | 5,471 | 3.2¢ | $47 | — |
| uchnisan0xee40…d148 | No | 44 | 99.3¢ | $44 | — |
| 0x6c05…0b80 | No | 40 | 98.4¢ | $39 | New10 settled bets |
| nice0204kkoo0x069a…d060 | No | 36 | 99.3¢ | $36 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x7e09…d4af | No | 34 | 98.5¢ | $34 | New10 settled bets |
| 0x1070…07d0 | No | 33 | 99.4¢ | $33 | New14 settled bets |
| 0x4900…c4e1 | No | 29 | 98.4¢ | $28 | — |
| WyattNathan0x51c5…807a | No | 25 | 98.2¢ | $25 | — |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.55K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.