Market · 2 of 43 outcomes
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 11 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jsram0x8372…5223 | Yes | 310,556 | 22.0¢ | $45.8K | Proven+$6.99 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 295,957 | 0.4¢ | $43.7K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| hose0xcc29…7774 | Yes | 151,121 | 25.2¢ | $22.3K | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | 123,744 | 22.0¢ | $18.3K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| liruihao0x35dc…b9ef | Yes | 111,740 | 20.9¢ | $16.5K | New12 settled bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 108,884 | 23.1¢ | $16.1K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| PollsR4Dummies0x008b…b476 | Yes | 71,402 | 12.0¢ | $10.5K | New36 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 67,493 | 7.0¢ | $9.96K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| dukeofdolma0xc278…1dd4 | Yes | 55,957 | 51.5¢ | $8.25K | New1 settled bet |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 9,440 | 71.6¢ | $8.05K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| cashy0x8f42…b88f | Yes | 50,000 | 26.9¢ | $7.37K | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| ballboy950xa849…c825 | No | 8,462 | 89.9¢ | $7.21K | Losing−$6.37 per $100 · 1,161 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 42,739 | 32.1¢ | $6.3K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 40,203 | 19.0¢ | $5.93K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| KnureKnume0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | 40,000 | 19.2¢ | $5.9K | Proven+$5.98 per $100 · 1,078 bets |
| rooivalk0x9bca…ca1f | Yes | 39,999 | 37.6¢ | $5.9K | New76 settled bets |
| Vilgefortz0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | 37,000 | 21.5¢ | $5.46K | Proven+$4.21 per $100 · 360 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 6,039 | 93.6¢ | $5.15K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | No | 5,689 | 50.1¢ | $4.85K | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 32,856 | 19.4¢ | $4.85K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| jocker0xd19d…6946 | No | 5,550 | 78.2¢ | $4.73K | New43 settled bets |
| 0xdfc1…818d | Yes | 30,829 | 14.1¢ | $4.55K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 4,377 bets |
| evalonso0x5a2a…0179 | Yes | 29,020 | 14.5¢ | $4.28K | New5 settled bets |
| VLONA0x7b60…f259 | No | 4,200 | 80.4¢ | $3.58K | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 126 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 24,053 | 0.7¢ | $3.55K | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| unocorn0xcd2c…a30e | Yes | 24,000 | 19.2¢ | $3.54K | New16 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 22,872 | 20.7¢ | $3.37K | New41 settled bets |
| Contraria0x9863…ccca | Yes | 21,316 | 14.1¢ | $3.14K | New8 settled bets |
| Anon55660x5a56…adab | Yes | 21,124 | 18.4¢ | $3.12K | Losing−$5.01 per $100 · 315 bets |
| oyster820x6771…5ce3 | Yes | 20,004 | 24.0¢ | $2.95K | New16 settled bets |
| 0xe0ba…fa03 | Yes | 19,748 | 24.3¢ | $2.91K | New43 settled bets |
| UndecidedPerson0x6bed…b3c3 | Yes | 18,699 | 13.4¢ | $2.76K | New35 settled bets |
| 0x2128…60ee | Yes | 18,572 | 26.9¢ | $2.74K | New5 settled bets |
| Cherut0xb128…cf58 | Yes | 18,511 | 26.8¢ | $2.73K | New75 settled bets |
| Lhsbcgeam0x3060…16cb | Yes | 15,753 | 21.9¢ | $2.32K | New4 settled bets |
| leviathanXalpha0xafff…33ff | Yes | 15,008 | 27.5¢ | $2.21K | New14 settled bets |
| 0x5039…946d | Yes | 15,000 | 19.5¢ | $2.21K | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 587 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 14,146 | 21.9¢ | $2.09K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 13,549 | 13.5¢ | $2K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 13,014 | 22.4¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 12,407 | 8.8¢ | $1.83K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | Yes | 12,392 | 26.4¢ | $1.83K | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| 0xc7a6…78b9 | No | 1,979 | 0.0¢ | $1.69K | New4 settled bets |
| ABCDEF10xa00c…7883 | Yes | 10,953 | 21.3¢ | $1.62K | New9 settled bets |
| Finocchiese0x1851…6b39 | Yes | 10,243 | 17.6¢ | $1.51K | New67 settled bets |
| Carpool0x4e61…82ee | Yes | 10,068 | 21.0¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 131 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 8,888 | 15.3¢ | $1.31K | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x282a…561b | No | 1,528 | 74.3¢ | $1.3K | New3 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 8,692 | 17.1¢ | $1.28K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| believinginsomething0xd024…35c0 | Yes | 8,586 | 11.6¢ | $1.27K | New30 settled bets |
| IceWindL0xdae6…e440 | Yes | 8,561 | 28.0¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$7.53 per $100 · 261 bets |
| sphinxshen0xa323…64ca | Yes | 8,526 | 11.7¢ | $1.26K | New17 settled bets |
| 0xec44…c92b | Yes | 8,382 | 11.9¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$8.40 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 0xa246…81f5 | Yes | 8,047 | 28.3¢ | $1.19K | New0 settled bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 8,000 | 23.1¢ | $1.18K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| 0xf0fe…344b | No | 1,273 | 83.2¢ | $1.09K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0f72…c3e0 | No | 1,261 | 77.3¢ | $1.07K | New4 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | No | 1,250 | 60.0¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0x2dc3…62f9 | No | 1,229 | 84.4¢ | $1.05K | New3 settled bets |
| 0x65a7…5c17 | No | 1,156 | 75.9¢ | $985 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xd73b…a99a | No | 1,063 | 76.7¢ | $906 | New17 settled bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 1,000 | 60.0¢ | $853 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| 0x48b0…155a | No | 988 | 76.2¢ | $842 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xf586…139e | No | 976 | 84.4¢ | $832 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x0a33…9bc0 | No | 864 | 84.3¢ | $737 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x289b…efd9 | No | 728 | 75.1¢ | $621 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x3e20…e84b | No | 710 | 78.2¢ | $605 | New8 settled bets |
| Rick.James0x4a8b…9e23 | No | 678 | 80.9¢ | $578 | New0 settled bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 606 | 91.9¢ | $516 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0x41a8…9872 | No | 604 | 79.6¢ | $515 | New12 settled bets |
| 0x48a4…c10d | No | 603 | 78.9¢ | $514 | New24 settled bets |
| 0x0c71…4797 | No | 602 | 84.3¢ | $513 | New3 settled bets |
| limingnftt0x66c6…53e2 | No | 600 | 79.1¢ | $512 | New49 settled bets |
| crackenthusiast0xb5e2…e599 | No | 600 | 72.0¢ | $512 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 525 bets |
| 0x10f7…cc45 | No | 585 | 77.0¢ | $499 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x4c73…9e93 | No | 564 | 84.2¢ | $481 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xcfde…1be8 | No | 520 | 84.4¢ | $443 | New16 settled bets |
| zerglemon0xe81d…16bf | No | 500 | 77.7¢ | $426 | Losing−$15.93 per $100 · 411 bets |
| 0x1b03…08d5 | No | 475 | 86.3¢ | $405 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x47b8…3b78 | No | 466 | 73.5¢ | $397 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x6efe…0819 | No | 449 | 87.7¢ | $382 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x5e73…7008 | No | 427 | 72.7¢ | $364 | — |
| 0xcedf…aa71 | Yes | 448 | 16.0¢ | $66 | New23 settled bets |
| gammasq0x60fc…a72f | Yes | 144 | 44.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$14.80 per $100 · 111 bets |
| 0x1d52…ac5f | Yes | 64 | 21.0¢ | $9 | New9 settled bets |
11 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.1M shares each side · Show
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