Market · 23 of 43 outcomes
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| expectingmore0x39d3…963d | Yes | 1,025,529 | 0.9¢ | $1.54K | New16 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 517,015 | 0.1¢ | $776 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.1¢ | $450 | — |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | No | 409 | 97.6¢ | $408 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| Bennito8877y0x901a…e5fd | No | 403 | 99.3¢ | $402 | — |
| 3254tfdgt86r0xda52…8c4a | No | 403 | 99.3¢ | $402 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 116,691 | 0.1¢ | $175 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| dabun230xb5c4…a20f | No | 131 | 99.5¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x2ce8…4527 | Yes | 85,118 | 0.8¢ | $128 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 779 bets |
| 0x4f23…efc1 | No | 122 | 99.8¢ | $121 | — |
| minion2u30xd10a…cab0 | No | 121 | 99.3¢ | $121 | — |
| uwuowo1230x2727…9e5c | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| 0x2075…3164 | No | 121 | 99.8¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x697d…75d9 | No | 117 | 99.8¢ | $117 | — |
| robertshaffer0x2e9b…e0d5 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| guj10x8aa3…f3f5 | No | 96 | 99.4¢ | $95 | — |
| humanoi10xbadc…89b1 | No | 86 | 99.3¢ | $85 | — |
| paoliuyi0x1e6a…5207 | No | 83 | 99.5¢ | $83 | — |
| 0xd269…7bcf | No | 78 | 99.7¢ | $78 | — |
| korVentis0xe60f…10b6 | No | 77 | 99.2¢ | $76 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 48,702 | 0.4¢ | $73 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| oneillmichael0x2466…50eb | No | 70 | 99.5¢ | $70 | — |
| melissasnyder0xd8ee…61af | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | — |
| tburns0x6524…e04f | No | 67 | 99.9¢ | $67 | — |
| cukky40xc3e3…759d | No | 65 | 99.3¢ | $65 | — |
| gfddhyj0x64cb…de1e | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | — |
| 998uulo0xfc40…4c5b | No | 56 | 99.3¢ | $56 | — |
| munrol210x1519…e8ab | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| valo540x9157…78f1 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| cbddoksi9980xbcfe…6dd6 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| nutrionkil0x06a2…ce1c | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| quintyn70x7285…1784 | No | 54 | 99.3¢ | $54 | — |
| thatscool0x3d0c…1979 | No | 40 | 99.3¢ | $40 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 21,700 | 0.8¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,224 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 15,117 | 0.9¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| chamiyouyan0xbcde…17dc | No | 21 | 99.1¢ | $21 | — |
| 457520xf617…30a6 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| NormanJulian0xefb4…f680 | No | 16 | 99.5¢ | $16 | — |
| hjsai570x5047…4214 | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| ewrfg0xef97…0d4a | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| cziku0x72a9…9520 | No | 16 | 99.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x76f4…a1b0 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xc636…4cdf | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| hfgtr0xbea8…ea3a | No | 15 | 99.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Jawnbeary0x0db2…4ab1 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x1989…0480 | No | 15 | 98.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xc8bc…05b8 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe2e1…1d72 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Aannri0x1ca7…9894 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xc766…0d51 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x5926…0620 | No | 13 | 97.4¢ | $13 | — |
| yuwaw0xb206…0c96 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| TesslaZheng0xc050…626e | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xa508…a911 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 8,636 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 8,585 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| 0xac9a…8f9e | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7a77…fc85 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| oioui0x992f…0f65 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xa5ea…cea1 | No | 12 | 98.4¢ | $12 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,131 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x09eb…b9a1 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| HugoTheGuy0xd5f6…b551 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.2¢ | $9 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7cdd…4fb7 | Yes | 4,333 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 4,000 | 0.9¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,394 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| zgvfnerr50x4299…79c5 | Yes | 3,000 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| bentheswiss20xc896…5003 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 2,491 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 2,490 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| sirigy230x2cd0…fb3d | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| bahtman0x8170…45a7 | Yes | 2,123 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | Yes | 1,905 | 0.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.16 per $100 · 2,273 bets |
| 1centYes0x888e…b1a6 | Yes | 1,900 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,850 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 1,828 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| btcethdoge0x9418…817f | Yes | 1,500 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfc7f…23f6 | Yes | 1,350 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,150 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| Captchacha0x96f9…09c7 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| iwanttoliveasimplelife0xdd32…5a56 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| chendaozi0x7a3f…a807 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | 856 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| dumber0x3e7c…596c | Yes | 846 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 794 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 745 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 706 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 700 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.