Market · 12 of 54 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF20280x7d56…4950 | Yes | 1,727,981 | 2.2¢ | $28.5K | New36 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 66,316 | 0.7¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| Provo440x1414…4047 | Yes | 52,016 | 3.0¢ | $858 | New73 settled bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 47,818 | 0.6¢ | $789 | New22 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 45,813 | 1.5¢ | $756 | New6 settled bets |
| expomax0x1e6a…9841 | Yes | 42,916 | 1.9¢ | $708 | New72 settled bets |
| profitcity0xc79a…79e7 | Yes | 39,986 | 2.3¢ | $660 | — |
| zizhulin0x478c…a645 | No | 600 | 98.6¢ | $590 | New63 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 33,559 | 0.8¢ | $554 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| tdmilk0x5b02…7fbd | Yes | 33,333 | 1.2¢ | $550 | New51 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $495 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| KnureKnume0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | 30,000 | 1.6¢ | $495 | Proven+$5.98 per $100 · 1,078 bets |
| 0x2aa8…0dd1 | Yes | 28,799 | 1.0¢ | $475 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xa3c8…7f5a | Yes | 27,578 | 1.9¢ | $455 | — |
| DDD19880x9438…ad81 | Yes | 25,766 | 1.8¢ | $425 | — |
| Tmagic230x6704…eb81 | Yes | 25,533 | 1.8¢ | $421 | New98 settled bets |
| idk.0x7ef7…fba9 | Yes | 24,578 | 1.5¢ | $406 | Losing−$24.85 per $100 · 270 bets |
| 0x36e2…6d6d | Yes | 22,964 | 2.4¢ | $379 | New1 settled bet |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $343 | New41 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 19,434 | 0.7¢ | $321 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| ncaawinnerwinner0xa35d…c048 | No | 280 | 96.1¢ | $276 | — |
| danieIe0xdb66…4f04 | Yes | 15,234 | 1.6¢ | $251 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $238 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| UKGamer0x0569…7ae3 | No | 235 | 98.0¢ | $231 | New23 settled bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | 13,333 | 1.6¢ | $220 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $220 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| PricklyPineapple330x62ea…b955 | Yes | 13,154 | 2.7¢ | $217 | New74 settled bets |
| Gracea0x5e31…b15f | No | 212 | 98.9¢ | $209 | New32 settled bets |
| Jonasssss0x0e4e…5bf4 | No | 203 | 98.3¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 225 bets |
| px10x9612…205a | Yes | 11,364 | 1.1¢ | $187 | — |
| 0xad03…c03d | No | 190 | 50.0¢ | $186 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 184 | 98.9¢ | $181 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Satoshi710xd88b…0cbf | Yes | 10,400 | 2.1¢ | $172 | — |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 10,047 | 1.9¢ | $166 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 9,535 | 0.8¢ | $157 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9,014 | 2.9¢ | $149 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $130 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Asredgghf70x15e8…6d07 | No | 127 | 98.8¢ | $125 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x1773…86c2 | Yes | 7,366 | 2.4¢ | $122 | New0 settled bets |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | Yes | 7,143 | 1.5¢ | $118 | — |
| 0x8a8b…3dc7 | No | 117 | 98.8¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x9222…e2d6 | No | 114 | 98.5¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x76fe…fa66 | Yes | 6,728 | 2.6¢ | $111 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x1b0a…d1b7 | No | 109 | 98.4¢ | $107 | New20 settled bets |
| 0xd7da…1944 | No | 108 | 98.4¢ | $106 | — |
| 0xd061…798c | No | 103 | 98.4¢ | $101 | — |
| 0x699b…17ca | No | 103 | 98.4¢ | $101 | New38 settled bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $99 | New65 settled bets |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 5,985 | 1.0¢ | $99 | Proven+$32.96 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| yippers0xb427…9445 | No | 100 | 97.2¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 125 bets |
| 0x7e84…d54d | Yes | 5,910 | 2.5¢ | $98 | New87 settled bets |
| 0x78cd…c82c | Yes | 5,787 | 1.7¢ | $95 | Losing−$35.44 per $100 · 108 bets |
| 2156556484540xc802…ad7c | No | 95 | 98.8¢ | $94 | — |
| johnathanroy0x7995…aa72 | No | 95 | 98.9¢ | $93 | New55 settled bets |
| 0x1c38…b3fe | Yes | 5,625 | 1.6¢ | $93 | New0 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $91 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| HJS4967320x2d50…770a | No | 92 | 98.3¢ | $90 | New9 settled bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,400 | 0.8¢ | $89 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 2545555550x5d92…a69d | No | 89 | 98.8¢ | $88 | New31 settled bets |
| enaich0x69d2…8c2f | Yes | 5,000 | 1.7¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 191 bets |
| DonkeyyJ0x5f80…fa5c | Yes | 4,844 | 3.1¢ | $80 | New37 settled bets |
| kjuyg0x7829…9d93 | No | 71 | 98.2¢ | $70 | New12 settled bets |
| fudmaster0x4893…a7ca | Yes | 4,105 | 1.2¢ | $68 | New5 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 4,005 | 0.6¢ | $66 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $64 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $61 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| Porra0x170f…4ca1 | No | 61 | 98.9¢ | $60 | New59 settled bets |
| Siaja7770x11f2…0158 | Yes | 3,448 | 2.9¢ | $57 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x88b2…f7a2 | Yes | 3,379 | 2.9¢ | $56 | — |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | Yes | 3,333 | 3.1¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $54 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| cj550x6df7…7e65 | No | 51 | 98.8¢ | $50 | New24 settled bets |
| Kuznecov0x9136…0322 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | — |
| Djalaladinm0xda1b…d528 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | — |
| Brazilsmart0x0647…afe3 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | New4 settled bets |
| Gramoteysss0x1e1e…1c40 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | New11 settled bets |
| Fyodor3276940x266d…faca | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | New23 settled bets |
| BBritva90x2735…f599 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $49 | New17 settled bets |
| incrible0x2df6…76a0 | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | New16 settled bets |
| MarinaE496720x472f…d066 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $49 | New29 settled bets |
| Ivan19146370x49f9…c621 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $49 | New20 settled bets |
| Natusya0x594c…c680 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | New4 settled bets |
| Gustafo500x5ebe…9e13 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | New9 settled bets |
| Daryaserpian0xa95e…1924 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $49 | — |
| Samuel19850xc48e…a97c | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | — |
| 3Dbc1B0xc6ef…4783 | No | 50 | 96.6¢ | $49 | — |
| gutjq0xcd31…185f | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | — |
| JUMBEK0xdfba…335d | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | — |
| MoniPomoni0xe111…ab80 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | — |
| svantik0xe61e…7137 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Spintowin010x9610…0ec9 | No | 49 | 98.6¢ | $48 | — |
| fanjyun010x5773…54d2 | No | 47 | 98.2¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 245 bets |
| GiorgiaCorradini0x42cb…e21f | No | 47 | 98.6¢ | $46 | New27 settled bets |
| xiaxiale0x855e…6f70 | No | 46 | 98.3¢ | $46 | — |
| ALISHER9990x61c1…7a9e | No | 45 | 98.9¢ | $44 | New7 settled bets |
5 accounts bet both sides equally · 327 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.