Market · 10 of 54 outcomes
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 17 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chp4200x6fe4…5781 | Yes | 1,250,000 | 2.3¢ | $21.9K | New0 settled bets |
| YuliaKyiv0xd428…6368 | Yes | 1,165,750 | 1.5¢ | $20.4K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,000 | 98.3¢ | $4.91K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| last-train-20260x6d52…16c1 | No | 4,778 | 98.7¢ | $4.69K | New1 settled bet |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 3,014 | 97.8¢ | $2.96K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 2,645 | 98.3¢ | $2.6K | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | No | 2,500 | 98.4¢ | $2.46K | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | No | 2,500 | 95.3¢ | $2.46K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | No | 2,212 | 50.0¢ | $2.17K | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,067 bets |
| everliver0xb741…0f09 | No | 1,994 | 98.7¢ | $1.96K | New19 settled bets |
| Maui12340xa9f3…62df | Yes | 100,000 | 2.7¢ | $1.75K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x4ef3…241c | No | 1,356 | 98.5¢ | $1.33K | New27 settled bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 1,300 | 96.6¢ | $1.28K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| Terabithiawz0x8242…6577 | No | 1,000 | 98.4¢ | $983 | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 0xff57…a383 | No | 954 | 98.6¢ | $938 | New13 settled bets |
| just-hedge-eth0x37cc…dc25 | No | 625 | 98.6¢ | $614 | New9 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 600 | 97.0¢ | $590 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xcbb4…36c3 | Yes | 30,095 | 5.0¢ | $527 | New86 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $525 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| that-was-easy0x34a1…7486 | No | 511 | 98.6¢ | $502 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 259 bets |
| madd1s0n0xf66e…7dcc | No | 511 | 98.6¢ | $502 | New68 settled bets |
| Gerix970x310e…a062 | No | 508 | 98.6¢ | $499 | New97 settled bets |
| 14rfgt77tik0x34db…42d3 | No | 500 | 50.0¢ | $491 | New32 settled bets |
| kyskyskyskys0xb39b…b602 | No | 500 | 98.5¢ | $491 | New18 settled bets |
| falseIMPI0xdc56…6173 | No | 434 | 98.6¢ | $426 | New25 settled bets |
| 84260xbedd…58a4 | No | 400 | 97.7¢ | $393 | New53 settled bets |
| xinyuan0x52ee…2f52 | No | 348 | 98.7¢ | $342 | New55 settled bets |
| huornent0xaf9f…2537 | No | 314 | 50.0¢ | $309 | New40 settled bets |
| 0x65b5…54c9 | No | 300 | 98.4¢ | $295 | New46 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 283 | 98.5¢ | $278 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| termsandcondition0x1ebb…00a4 | No | 279 | 98.7¢ | $274 | New3 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $253 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xc10c…9bb3 | Yes | 14,277 | 1.2¢ | $250 | New32 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $233 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| St7ven0xbea6…d27d | No | 203 | 98.4¢ | $200 | New25 settled bets |
| ygffcf090x21c8…8386 | No | 203 | 98.5¢ | $200 | Proven+$132.91 per $100 · 264 bets |
| Maya1808880x3fa9…9396 | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | $199 | New37 settled bets |
| Amber2220x5599…5fb9 | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | $199 | New54 settled bets |
| Zachary700000x97c0…6d0a | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | $199 | New51 settled bets |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 200 | 98.6¢ | $197 | — |
| kaya4ever0xdd2c…709a | Yes | 10,000 | 3.4¢ | $175 | New1 settled bet |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 9,574 | 0.8¢ | $168 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x6d70…b809 | Yes | 6,088 | 3.3¢ | $107 | Losing−$70.11 per $100 · 193 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 100 | 98.3¢ | $98 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,401 | 0.8¢ | $95 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 4,005 | 0.6¢ | $70 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $67 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $65 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 3,370 | 0.6¢ | $59 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | 2,534 | 2.6¢ | $44 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| pp320xb512…30fb | Yes | 2,500 | 1.6¢ | $44 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 2,378 | 0.5¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xcd23…2af3 | Yes | 2,347 | 4.3¢ | $41 | New13 settled bets |
| 4Jlee0x981d…0741 | Yes | 2,240 | 2.2¢ | $39 | Losing−$9.00 per $100 · 327 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 2,222 | 4.5¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 2,063 | 0.7¢ | $36 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 1,987 | 0.8¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| qianbao40x1c9a…0c83 | Yes | 1,765 | 1.7¢ | $31 | New4 settled bets |
| woshuone0x207d…f4be | Yes | 1,765 | 1.7¢ | $31 | New4 settled bets |
| Jjjoo0x234a…470c | Yes | 1,765 | 1.7¢ | $31 | New5 settled bets |
| banzhu0x93f2…6dec | Yes | 1,765 | 1.7¢ | $31 | New2 settled bets |
| Nanjingl0xcb49…fbb5 | Yes | 1,765 | 1.7¢ | $31 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,604 | 0.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 1,596 | 4.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,557 | 0.8¢ | $27 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 1,554 | 0.8¢ | $27 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| DtotheJ0x6f39…8ad7 | Yes | 1,471 | 1.7¢ | $26 | Losing−$39.91 per $100 · 209 bets |
| jjk120x61d2…2b63 | Yes | 1,176 | 1.7¢ | $21 | New3 settled bets |
| xindeye0x7cce…2ecc | Yes | 1,176 | 1.7¢ | $21 | New4 settled bets |
17 accounts bet both sides equally · 665K shares each side · Show
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