Market · 2 of 54 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 15 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| machbut0xc2de…6781 | Yes | 438,322 | 12.5¢ | $57.2K | New42 settled bets |
| aaaaaaaaaa0x9e56…4199 | Yes | 221,966 | 7.2¢ | $29K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 31,636 | 86.5¢ | $27.5K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| crystal20210x9764…c131 | Yes | 156,902 | 5.0¢ | $20.5K | New2 settled bets |
| Basemeta20x5663…63c1 | Yes | 155,298 | 6.4¢ | $20.3K | New16 settled bets |
| Katello0x8628…6f0b | Yes | 150,000 | 8.0¢ | $19.6K | New60 settled bets |
| thebug440xde7c…c933 | Yes | 136,695 | 5.8¢ | $17.8K | Positive+$24.78 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Zptml0xecb9…5a12 | No | 20,000 | 92.0¢ | $17.4K | New73 settled bets |
| H0m0ThugMacro0xfecf…abd4 | Yes | 119,371 | 6.5¢ | $15.6K | New64 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 15,256 | 86.4¢ | $13.3K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| futureisyours0x2fe1…b7e5 | Yes | 95,287 | 6.9¢ | $12.4K | New31 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 89,000 | 0.9¢ | $11.6K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | No | 12,068 | 86.3¢ | $10.5K | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| novice990x9df5…61e1 | Yes | 79,962 | 6.3¢ | $10.4K | New9 settled bets |
| f0afjr0xb911…0d3e | Yes | 62,933 | 15.1¢ | $8.21K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8605…aa83 | Yes | 59,377 | 7.9¢ | $7.75K | New4 settled bets |
| TwoEyes0xb1a2…372a | Yes | 56,919 | 8.6¢ | $7.43K | Break-even−$0.48 per $100 · 642 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 55,197 | 0.6¢ | $7.2K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 53,965 | 6.2¢ | $7.04K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | No | 7,870 | 85.7¢ | $6.84K | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 6,332 | 90.9¢ | $5.51K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| Brilliance-Subdued0x2925…d61d | Yes | 41,844 | 7.7¢ | $5.46K | New14 settled bets |
| galorroyi0xd2a7…776b | Yes | 40,594 | 9.4¢ | $5.3K | New12 settled bets |
| keasiyo0xee67…ef38 | Yes | 37,493 | 7.0¢ | $4.89K | Proven+$11.82 per $100 · 292 bets |
| tlmonks0x5e52…9434 | Yes | 35,636 | 5.8¢ | $4.65K | Losing−$16.33 per $100 · 582 bets |
| 0x2559…2032 | Yes | 30,849 | 13.2¢ | $4.03K | New23 settled bets |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | Yes | 29,426 | 8.6¢ | $3.84K | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,874 bets |
| 0xa205…52e9 | Yes | 27,474 | 6.1¢ | $3.59K | New0 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 26,222 | 0.8¢ | $3.42K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| limingnftt0x66c6…53e2 | Yes | 25,500 | 5.5¢ | $3.33K | New49 settled bets |
| 0x3d84…086b | Yes | 23,873 | 4.8¢ | $3.12K | New26 settled bets |
| endxd0xa41c…fade | Yes | 23,511 | 13.0¢ | $3.07K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 384 bets |
| Boofie.Girl0xe8f6…1905 | Yes | 21,757 | 12.3¢ | $2.84K | New35 settled bets |
| Goodburger0x3920…32b0 | Yes | 21,256 | 8.1¢ | $2.77K | New4 settled bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 20,000 | 5.0¢ | $2.61K | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | No | 2,964 | 85.0¢ | $2.58K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 19,572 | 5.6¢ | $2.55K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| 0xbcd5…acc7 | Yes | 16,473 | 5.5¢ | $2.15K | New0 settled bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 15,000 | 5.0¢ | $1.96K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| name1000x9ef0…591f | Yes | 13,745 | 10.9¢ | $1.79K | New27 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $1.74K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,985 | 89.3¢ | $1.73K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| smoovster0xfa77…563b | Yes | 12,514 | 13.9¢ | $1.63K | New50 settled bets |
| tedshed0x4d4f…80f4 | Yes | 12,500 | 8.0¢ | $1.63K | New4 settled bets |
| 0x3305…31da | Yes | 11,976 | 11.9¢ | $1.56K | New10 settled bets |
| kaya4ever0xdd2c…709a | Yes | 10,556 | 7.6¢ | $1.38K | New1 settled bet |
| degenwifhat0x22ae…e3f3 | Yes | 10,002 | 6.3¢ | $1.31K | New30 settled bets |
| yh19880x008e…63be | Yes | 10,000 | 13.0¢ | $1.3K | New9 settled bets |
| 0x0b91…ae77 | Yes | 10,000 | 13.7¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$10.22 per $100 · 659 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 8.0¢ | $1.3K | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Ray7770xbfc1…73d8 | Yes | 9,945 | 13.8¢ | $1.3K | New27 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 9,295 | 5.9¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 9,239 | 5.5¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 1,300 | 92.0¢ | $1.13K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | No | 1,200 | 50.0¢ | $1.04K | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,067 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 1,182 | 88.7¢ | $1.03K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| Mzeldovi0x269a…0837 | No | 1,149 | 87.5¢ | $999 | Proven+$12.82 per $100 · 108 bets |
| nyahquodobovw0xddab…c307 | No | 1,091 | 94.5¢ | $949 | New38 settled bets |
| 0x21a2…5f83 | No | 1,065 | 91.3¢ | $926 | New47 settled bets |
| Walnutroad0x5e48…3e67 | No | 1,010 | 91.0¢ | $878 | New62 settled bets |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | No | 1,000 | 93.0¢ | $870 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 1,000 | 87.5¢ | $870 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| jeongpc0x68f2…8e18 | No | 1,000 | 87.0¢ | $870 | New28 settled bets |
| jrosjgoisgsg0x0e71…be4c | No | 1,000 | 85.6¢ | $869 | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 162 bets |
| 0x0f34…7684 | No | 900 | 95.2¢ | $783 | Losing−$5.75 per $100 · 2,290 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 826 | 94.1¢ | $718 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xca3e…0986 | No | 727 | 87.5¢ | $632 | New3 settled bets |
| BornToBalancePopularVote0x708b…2e9f | No | 663 | 90.8¢ | $576 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 325 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 600 | 92.0¢ | $522 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| tylerpredict0xb5c7…f2c1 | No | 517 | 87.3¢ | $450 | New40 settled bets |
| MyTrade4Fun0x25b5…f115 | No | 502 | 91.8¢ | $436 | New58 settled bets |
| win-or-cry0x5cd1…0446 | No | 500 | 92.4¢ | $435 | Positive+$3.86 per $100 · 194 bets |
| Ed2560xd4ff…883d | No | 450 | 92.0¢ | $391 | New0 settled bets |
| jleneus0xf4ef…6e2f | No | 447 | 84.9¢ | $389 | New8 settled bets |
| Randomizer10x3413…a359 | No | 400 | 95.0¢ | $348 | New54 settled bets |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 353 | 88.3¢ | $307 | — |
| cst-5510x2ab5…1d6e | No | 350 | 94.2¢ | $304 | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 271 bets |
| supahao0x2ac9…8469 | No | 345 | 87.5¢ | $300 | New49 settled bets |
| aTurtle0x41fb…e1e3 | No | 300 | 87.8¢ | $261 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 1,117 | 8.6¢ | $146 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
15 accounts bet both sides equally · 428K shares each side · Show
|