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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
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Every live Polymarket market, with its chance, the money on it and who's betting. Open one to see who's on each side, which way the money is moving and the rules.
| Market | Chance | Today | This week | Bet today | Room to trade | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 |
Chance is the Yes price: 62¢ means a 62% chance. Changes are in percentage points. Room to trade is how much you can buy or sell near today's price.
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 11, 2026, 23:56 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| <1% |
| +0.1 pts |
| +0.1 pts |
| $483K |
| $217K |
| 11/08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 20% | +0.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $238K | $422K | 11/08 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 4% | — | — | $236K | $450K | 11/04 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 33% | −2 pts | −4 pts | $224K | $370K | 10/28 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 14% | +0.8 pts | +3 pts | $201K | $384K | 04/19 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 88% | — | — | $171K | $321K | 11/04 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Brazil Presidential Election | 86% | −1.9 pts | +3 pts | $161K | $776K | 10/05 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 7% | — | — | $142K | $407K | 11/04 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 1% | — | −0.1 pts | $135K | $369K | 11/08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 9% | — | +1.0 pts | $120K | $2.17M | 11/04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 28% | −1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $114K | $2.46M | 11/04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | <1% | — | — | $103K | $226K | 11/04 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 1% | +0.3 pts | +0.7 pts | $97K | $635K | 11/08 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | 61% | −1.5 pts | −5 pts | $94K | $139K | 10/25 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | <1% | — | — | $88.4K | $242K | 10/28 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the House in 2026? | 10% | — | +2 pts | $86.8K | $2.5M | 11/04 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics · Texas Senate Election Winner | 38% | +2 pts | +2 pts | $81.5K | $380K | 11/04 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 24% | +1.5 pts | +6 pts | $79.9K | $206K | 04/19 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the House in 2026? | 91% | — | −2 pts | $79.8K | $2.59M | 11/04 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Politics · Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? | 3% | −1.3 pts | −0.6 pts | $75.4K | $490K | 01/01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics · Texas Senate Election Winner | 63% | −2 pts | −1.0 pts | $74K | $389K | 11/04 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 3% | +1.0 pts | +1.2 pts | $72K | $333K | 04/19 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 40% | +0.5 pts | −5 pts | $69.8K | $495K | 04/19 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | 41% | +3 pts | +6 pts | $67.9K | $158K | 10/25 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | <1% | — | — | $61.7K | $355K | 04/19 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Brazil Presidential Election | 13% | +1.0 pts | −3 pts | $56.1K | $1.54M | 10/05 |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics · Next Prime Minister of Spain? | 1% | +0.8 pts | +0.4 pts | $56K | $111K | 04/01 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics · Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 5% | +0.6 pts | +1.3 pts | $51.6K | $133K | — |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 11% | −1.0 pts | −2 pts | $49.6K | $557K | 04/19 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 46% | +4 pts | +0.1 pts | $47.7K | $151K | 10/28 |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics · North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...? | 20% | +1.0 pts | — | $44.4K | $156K | 01/01 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 6% | −0.2 pts | −0.3 pts | $42.1K | $510K | 11/08 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 64% | +1.0 pts | −4 pts | $41.9K | $2.64M | 11/04 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? | 10% | — | — | $41.4K | $353K | 11/04 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 3% | +0.1 pts | −0.3 pts | $37.5K | $176K | 04/19 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | 14% | +2 pts | +3 pts | $37.4K | $130K | 10/28 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · California Governor Election Winner | 4% | +0.3 pts | −0.3 pts | $36.1K | $138K | 11/04 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $35.8K | $167K | 04/19 |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics · Next Prime Minister of Spain? | <1% | +0.1 pts | — | $35.5K | $152K | 04/01 |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | — | — | $35.5K | $859K | 11/07 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 2% | −0.3 pts | −0.1 pts | $35.5K | $291K | 04/19 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 3% | — | — | $35.4K | $431K | 11/08 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | <1% | — | −0.1 pts | $34.6K | $1.16M | 11/08 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics · Next French Presidential Election | 1% | −0.1 pts | +0.3 pts | $34.3K | $307K | 04/19 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 1% | −0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $34.2K | $618K | 11/04 |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics · Next Prime Minister of Spain? | <1% | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | $33.6K | $133K | 04/01 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics · Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? | 7% | — | — | $33.2K | $396K | 11/04 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 9% | +0.4 pts | +1.2 pts | $33.1K | $369K | 11/08 |