Market · 21 of 53 outcomes
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 93.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| expectless0x78c6…4710 | No | 153,765 | 99.3¢ | $153K | Losing−$6.95 per $100 · 110 bets |
| GigaBrainConsulting20x2051…4542 | Yes | 680,240 | 0.7¢ | $2.38K | New2 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 432,227 | 0.7¢ | $1.51K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 355,596 | 0.6¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| 0blivion20x2216…8cce | No | 1,005 | 99.5¢ | $1K | New58 settled bets |
| L1superbowl0xe22f…c191 | No | 646 | 99.5¢ | $644 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 670 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.