Market · 8 of 53 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 91.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regularpenguin0x9f57…c930 | Yes | 326,375 | 2.2¢ | $8K | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 265,421 | 1.7¢ | $6.5K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 200,346 | 1.8¢ | $4.91K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| Mugatu-eth0xeff0…1210 | Yes | 164,931 | 3.1¢ | $4.04K | — |
| HerbertAppreciator0x3cd6…18e4 | Yes | 136,580 | 1.4¢ | $3.35K | Losing−$6.17 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Calimer00x5b72…bedd | Yes | 120,593 | 2.2¢ | $2.95K | — |
17 accounts bet both sides equally · 10.9K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.