Market · 8 of 53 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regularpenguin0x9f57…c930 | Yes | 326,375 | 2.2¢ | $8K | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 265,421 | 1.7¢ | $6.5K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 200,346 | 1.8¢ | $4.91K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| Mugatu-eth0xeff0…1210 | Yes | 164,931 | 3.1¢ | $4.04K | — |
| HerbertAppreciator0x3cd6…18e4 | Yes | 136,580 | 1.4¢ | $3.35K | Losing−$6.17 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Calimer00x5b72…bedd | Yes | 120,593 | 2.2¢ | $2.95K | — |
| MM-Airdrop0x2150…8293 | Yes | 86,249 | 2.5¢ | $2.11K | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 78,166 | 2.2¢ | $1.92K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 71,850 | 0.8¢ | $1.76K | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| MymanIvan0xd47d…322b | Yes | 66,205 | 2.9¢ | $1.62K | — |
| worldclassdegen0xc3e4…5bf6 | Yes | 61,905 | 2.3¢ | $1.52K | — |
| TortugaGorda0xea2f…a8ef | Yes | 58,233 | 1.1¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$29.65 per $100 · 1,150 bets |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | 49,108 | 1.1¢ | $1.2K | Positive+$6.29 per $100 · 4,457 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 40,820 | 3.2¢ | $1K | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| CH900x452c…7449 | Yes | 40,813 | 3.7¢ | $1K | — |
| jadebasilisk0x59db…c353 | Yes | 40,000 | 1.7¢ | $980 | — |
| pop0x6404…f250 | Yes | 37,484 | 2.9¢ | $918 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 35,834 | 0.4¢ | $878 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 34,659 | 1.6¢ | $849 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| KnureKnume0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | 34,105 | 3.0¢ | $836 | Proven+$5.98 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 33,226 | 1.3¢ | $814 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| ikickbabies0xdf6f…f6ee | Yes | 32,102 | 1.7¢ | $786 | — |
| SFE440x7520…376d | Yes | 30,375 | 1.9¢ | $744 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 30,170 | 1.2¢ | $739 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| balmerre0x3869…0e3c | Yes | 29,581 | 1.9¢ | $725 | New65 settled bets |
| BlockyBoi0x37a7…dde1 | Yes | 29,199 | 2.8¢ | $715 | — |
| newking10x7b0a…b2f6 | Yes | 28,512 | 2.6¢ | $699 | — |
| SagiNahor0x31fc…4e30 | Yes | 28,000 | 0.7¢ | $686 | — |
| mon20260xce14…e38f | Yes | 25,856 | 2.8¢ | $633 | New21 settled bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 23,930 | 2.7¢ | $586 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0x81c6…91f4 | Yes | 22,738 | 2.6¢ | $557 | — |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 21,517 | 3.4¢ | $527 | New29 settled bets |
| flamingfish0x217e…3a4c | Yes | 20,806 | 0.8¢ | $510 | — |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 20,780 | 2.3¢ | $509 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 20,000 | 2.1¢ | $490 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| Automagick0xa307…a878 | Yes | 19,776 | 2.8¢ | $485 | — |
| superstation0x6989…b412 | Yes | 19,299 | 3.1¢ | $473 | Losing−$3.78 per $100 · 133 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $471 | New41 settled bets |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 18,750 | 1.9¢ | $459 | New77 settled bets |
| Lazerrice0x3a0e…441a | No | 462 | 97.5¢ | $451 | — |
| H786efhh70xbd0b…ce09 | No | 413 | 96.9¢ | $403 | — |
| oilboil0xb222…fe5b | No | 411 | 97.4¢ | $401 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 15,545 | 2.4¢ | $381 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 15,115 | 3.5¢ | $370 | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| Arcazarrrr0xa1d7…ab83 | Yes | 14,553 | 3.6¢ | $357 | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 13,606 | 1.1¢ | $333 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
| 2498an0n0x6e7e…2a50 | Yes | 13,192 | 0.8¢ | $323 | — |
| GamingToad0x11a4…34f1 | Yes | 13,161 | 3.2¢ | $322 | New3 settled bets |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 12,864 | 2.7¢ | $315 | — |
| 0x56e7…7c0b | Yes | 12,775 | 2.6¢ | $313 | Proven+$6.11 per $100 · 156 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,699 | 0.8¢ | $311 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Boey0x0539…70f9 | Yes | 12,644 | 2.2¢ | $310 | Positive+$20.65 per $100 · 454 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 12,170 | 2.3¢ | $298 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Heatherddd0x5302…bede | No | 216 | 97.2¢ | $211 | — |
| Christian74440xa694…df78 | No | 206 | 97.3¢ | $201 | — |
| Ellie69990xbf6f…3725 | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | $198 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 117 | 99.1¢ | $114 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | No | 115 | 96.1¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| FFGGGV0x8c2d…5158 | No | 80 | 98.8¢ | $78 | — |
| GiryazuBER66WW0x9801…7544 | No | 77 | 97.3¢ | $75 | — |
| turybn9980x118f…6e7d | No | 66 | 98.3¢ | $65 | — |
| falton222210x3e74…5750 | No | 65 | 99.4¢ | $64 | — |
| hulaminok340x18ff…bec6 | No | 62 | 98.2¢ | $61 | — |
| Hajpi0x4f08…3042 | No | 62 | 97.6¢ | $60 | — |
| Hulhy0x7747…fcfd | No | 57 | 98.1¢ | $56 | — |
| Kulinger420x43c4…556c | No | 56 | 97.6¢ | $55 | — |
| konchelyga0070xe0dc…ca4c | No | 56 | 97.7¢ | $55 | — |
| nurtynskyj0x1d58…9faa | No | 56 | 98.4¢ | $55 | — |
| banor8880x1c1f…73e1 | No | 55 | 99.4¢ | $54 | — |
| 0x3bcf…26c9 | No | 53 | 97.4¢ | $52 | — |
| WIIIW0xcd48…8f01 | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $50 | — |
| bbyuuui0x2039…f9c5 | No | 51 | 97.3¢ | $50 | — |
| mf.mj170xae3c…73e0 | No | 51 | 98.1¢ | $50 | — |
| benkalleb0xe7d5…e5af | No | 51 | 96.9¢ | $50 | — |
| sleepysamoed0x131b…1ede | No | 51 | 97.9¢ | $49 | — |
| 12smartik0x21bb…03bf | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | — |
| Farshmak640x8199…3a57 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | — |
| katarinaasuman0x8ced…f07b | No | 50 | 98.5¢ | $49 | — |
| Pendeho120x905e…32c8 | No | 50 | 97.4¢ | $49 | — |
| mascarpone365020xe168…0f95 | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xcccb…71b3 | No | 47 | 97.5¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x6135…9831 | No | 42 | 97.3¢ | $41 | — |
| Redplast0x275a…24d2 | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $39 | — |
17 accounts bet both sides equally · 10.9K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.