Market · 1 of 53 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 91.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 30 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 383,100 | 22.9¢ | $68K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| machbut0xc2de…6781 | Yes | 339,361 | 20.8¢ | $60.2K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Goodburger0x3920…32b0 | Yes | 295,849 | 10.2¢ | $52.5K | New4 settled bets |
| KingKRool0x1d94…ed73 | Yes | 208,805 | 9.7¢ | $37.1K | New0 settled bets |
| Rex0x707b…69f2 | Yes | 200,955 | 8.7¢ | $35.7K | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 788 bets |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 100,000 | 11.0¢ | $17.7K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,568 bets |
30 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.32M shares each side · Show
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