Market · 1 of 53 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 30 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 383,100 | 22.9¢ | $68K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| machbut0xc2de…6781 | Yes | 339,361 | 20.8¢ | $60.2K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Goodburger0x3920…32b0 | Yes | 295,849 | 10.2¢ | $52.5K | New4 settled bets |
| KingKRool0x1d94…ed73 | Yes | 208,805 | 9.7¢ | $37.1K | New0 settled bets |
| Rex0x707b…69f2 | Yes | 200,955 | 8.7¢ | $35.7K | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 788 bets |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 100,000 | 11.0¢ | $17.7K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,568 bets |
| TheEmprah0x4cb5…b536 | Yes | 80,922 | 11.0¢ | $14.4K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 213 bets |
| baddestofthemall0x8217…9299 | Yes | 78,022 | 9.0¢ | $13.8K | New0 settled bets |
| novice990x9df5…61e1 | Yes | 75,441 | 13.6¢ | $13.4K | New9 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 70,501 | 7.5¢ | $12.5K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| futureisyours0x2fe1…b7e5 | Yes | 66,637 | 10.9¢ | $11.8K | New31 settled bets |
| MSKW222220xc0df…8dad | Yes | 64,643 | 9.6¢ | $11.5K | New1 settled bet |
| Grandma0x0xe0d1…e44f | Yes | 50,763 | 20.3¢ | $9.01K | New3 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 48,555 | 9.9¢ | $8.62K | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,243 bets |
| bonkler0x00c7…bb17 | Yes | 46,763 | 22.1¢ | $8.3K | New25 settled bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 9,398 | 76.1¢ | $7.73K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | Yes | 42,667 | 9.0¢ | $7.57K | Proven+$5.00 per $100 · 149 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 34,251 | 7.8¢ | $6.08K | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 33,185 | 7.9¢ | $5.89K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| 0x8605…aa83 | Yes | 31,455 | 12.2¢ | $5.58K | New4 settled bets |
| 0x443e…fef8 | Yes | 30,207 | 13.8¢ | $5.36K | New8 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 28,517 | 7.1¢ | $5.06K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 27,119 | 8.4¢ | $4.81K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| mon20260xce14…e38f | Yes | 24,328 | 9.0¢ | $4.32K | New21 settled bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | Yes | 21,428 | 11.0¢ | $3.8K | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 21,348 | 17.5¢ | $3.79K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| endxd0xa41c…fade | Yes | 21,128 | 13.5¢ | $3.75K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 384 bets |
| Lisbon0x8055…44c4 | No | 4,362 | 50.0¢ | $3.59K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 641 bets |
| ISMS22220xc109…1ad2 | Yes | 20,073 | 11.9¢ | $3.56K | Proven+$9.99 per $100 · 129 bets |
| Wsix0x56c5…dbcf | Yes | 20,000 | 11.5¢ | $3.55K | New86 settled bets |
| green90x6d79…ae69 | Yes | 19,201 | 18.7¢ | $3.41K | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| futureDwight0x77a4…402b | Yes | 18,407 | 19.2¢ | $3.27K | New1 settled bet |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 17,878 | 6.6¢ | $3.17K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0xc00d…6cd3 | No | 3,822 | 81.7¢ | $3.14K | New13 settled bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 17,450 | 13.6¢ | $3.1K | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| MatiazVog0x34bf…26e7 | Yes | 17,333 | 8.6¢ | $3.08K | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 336 bets |
| Funfzig0x5e9c…cd75 | Yes | 15,606 | 15.4¢ | $2.77K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 1,061 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 15,407 | 20.8¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 15,000 | 7.9¢ | $2.66K | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 3,000 | 79.1¢ | $2.47K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| sporttt0xe153…e415 | No | 2,635 | 91.3¢ | $2.17K | New46 settled bets |
| vishy27730x7245…f1c3 | No | 2,222 | 90.0¢ | $1.83K | Losing−$4.48 per $100 · 145 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | No | 2,073 | 77.6¢ | $1.71K | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | No | 2,000 | 82.0¢ | $1.65K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 1,903 | 83.9¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| damonma0xc23d…154c | No | 1,694 | 91.3¢ | $1.39K | New44 settled bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 1,645 | 79.1¢ | $1.35K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| lstxx0x04a3…5213 | No | 1,635 | 91.3¢ | $1.34K | New18 settled bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | No | 1,525 | 86.1¢ | $1.25K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| Frankeethecat0x13e0…c5ca | No | 1,500 | 89.0¢ | $1.23K | New47 settled bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 1,496 | 81.7¢ | $1.23K | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| 0xe912…3c49 | No | 1,491 | 85.7¢ | $1.23K | New8 settled bets |
| 0xfb36…f67b | No | 1,486 | 81.6¢ | $1.22K | New7 settled bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 1,440 | 81.2¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 47513460x6dd6…f5f4 | No | 1,440 | 80.8¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 3,383 bets |
| 0xa7c1…691b | No | 1,376 | 88.8¢ | $1.13K | New25 settled bets |
30 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.32M shares each side · Show
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