Market · 3 of 53 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 93.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 41 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gatorr0x93ab…9723 | Yes | 386,409 | 25.3¢ | $59.7K | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 937 bets |
| 0x6e82…752c | No | 60,520 | 65.5¢ | $51.2K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Hugewinner0xc8ec…e8f1 | Yes | 323,061 | 18.6¢ | $49.9K | Proven+$31.03 per $100 · 380 bets |
| fuc.your.mother0x76cf…9452 | Yes | 206,746 | 24.8¢ | $31.9K | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 138 bets |
| cocos2280x8e5c…a68a | Yes | 180,097 | 33.0¢ | $27.8K | Proven+$17.59 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Ket2180x7d8c…0b5c | Yes | 137,272 | 29.4¢ | $21.2K | New11 settled bets |
41 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.91M shares each side · Show
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