Market · 22 of 53 outcomes
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| expectless0x78c6…4710 | No | 153,765 | 99.3¢ | $153K | Losing−$6.95 per $100 · 110 bets |
| GigaBrainConsulting20x2051…4542 | Yes | 680,240 | 0.7¢ | $2.38K | New2 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 432,227 | 0.7¢ | $1.51K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 355,596 | 0.6¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| 0blivion20x2216…8cce | No | 1,005 | 99.5¢ | $1K | New58 settled bets |
| L1superbowl0xe22f…c191 | No | 646 | 99.5¢ | $644 | — |
| 0x2502…b24a | No | 563 | 99.4¢ | $561 | New27 settled bets |
| d4f40x2173…a09f | No | 534 | 99.4¢ | $532 | New20 settled bets |
| mmf420xb963…decb | No | 534 | 99.1¢ | $532 | — |
| mewfa30xce3a…5dc7 | No | 534 | 99.4¢ | $532 | — |
| 0xd5f1…c10f | No | 532 | 99.4¢ | $530 | — |
| Tony720x8c77…af46 | Yes | 149,914 | 0.4¢ | $525 | — |
| 0x0e52…9fa4 | No | 522 | 99.5¢ | $520 | New27 settled bets |
| 0xdb6d…1286 | No | 506 | 99.4¢ | $504 | — |
| 0xcb1d…40b3 | No | 503 | 99.4¢ | $501 | — |
| 000088880x8948…28d5 | Yes | 141,921 | 0.5¢ | $497 | — |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | Yes | 134,449 | 0.8¢ | $471 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,886 bets |
| Vingtoft0x8a48…7bc7 | Yes | 131,469 | 0.6¢ | $460 | — |
| m90jj0x8cb6…e9d2 | No | 452 | 99.4¢ | $451 | — |
| vv33f0x3a57…bd22 | No | 434 | 99.4¢ | $432 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x684b…a1fa | Yes | 93,500 | 2.1¢ | $327 | New16 settled bets |
| Typhooey0xc2ca…b6ad | Yes | 87,166 | 0.7¢ | $305 | — |
| Yomba0xd3fb…57e5 | Yes | 79,976 | 0.9¢ | $280 | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 860 bets |
| jointeam0x8f5c…96d0 | No | 255 | 99.5¢ | $254 | — |
| chaoticclimb0x19dd…8f24 | Yes | 71,500 | 0.7¢ | $250 | New70 settled bets |
| sailor830x2d29…aaa8 | Yes | 70,676 | 0.5¢ | $247 | New0 settled bets |
| Melissaklllllll0xa994…f678 | No | 231 | 99.6¢ | $230 | — |
| wqee1230x5598…acb2 | No | 219 | 99.1¢ | $218 | New17 settled bets |
| NovaReach0x3d38…e2a8 | No | 215 | 99.1¢ | $215 | New12 settled bets |
| Sofiaanoiuuush0x1f09…1a81 | No | 206 | 99.6¢ | $205 | New36 settled bets |
| kokelin0x2334…cd00 | No | 201 | 99.5¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 2,021 bets |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | $199 | New25 settled bets |
| zhenhuang1230x3fa0…61a1 | No | 200 | 99.4¢ | $199 | New59 settled bets |
| iknowu0xbe49…23c8 | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | $199 | — |
| NorthmereCoast0xcb62…a903 | No | 197 | 99.4¢ | $196 | — |
| mommy-0x05f0…fc39 | Yes | 55,000 | 0.6¢ | $192 | New43 settled bets |
| aazhulei0x861e…2048 | No | 182 | 99.5¢ | $181 | — |
| xtrqs0x1e5b…d4ec | Yes | 51,203 | 0.8¢ | $179 | Proven+$50.68 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0x4ced…98bd | Yes | 45,993 | 0.6¢ | $161 | New1 settled bet |
| smo3650x456b…2fd9 | Yes | 45,617 | 2.5¢ | $160 | New1 settled bet |
| bingwazhennao0x99a5…8acf | No | 155 | 99.5¢ | $154 | — |
| arbitrageking0x7368…3e51 | Yes | 42,857 | 0.7¢ | $150 | New68 settled bets |
| polygonagg0x00e6…acd2 | No | 150 | 99.5¢ | $149 | New29 settled bets |
| biddden0x2278…5c68 | No | 150 | 99.6¢ | $149 | New34 settled bets |
| betnowlfg0x607d…fec7 | No | 150 | 99.5¢ | $149 | New50 settled bets |
| francepa0x25eb…dc9d | No | 134 | 99.5¢ | $134 | New54 settled bets |
| BsJVel0xa2ee…0ae5 | No | 123 | 99.4¢ | $123 | — |
| lookcare0x84f6…14cc | No | 122 | 99.5¢ | $122 | — |
| DYtpIFSf0xab42…caa9 | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| supportwho0x0931…516a | No | 120 | 99.5¢ | $120 | New34 settled bets |
| 0x9947…9291 | No | 120 | 99.5¢ | $119 | — |
| 25030x489e…87f4 | No | 119 | 99.3¢ | $118 | New19 settled bets |
| IaFVrj0xa990…ed86 | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | $114 | — |
| bonebot0x8f21…b935 | Yes | 32,143 | 0.7¢ | $113 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 1,308 bets |
| edgeguy0xd1df…7f0a | No | 112 | 99.5¢ | $112 | — |
| wenxx0x030d…fc20 | No | 110 | 99.5¢ | $110 | New50 settled bets |
| PjgEuB0xd81d…1371 | No | 109 | 99.4¢ | $109 | — |
| cokecola0x9e34…5984 | No | 109 | 99.5¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xd26e…5750 | No | 101 | 99.5¢ | $101 | — |
| bigproblem0x02da…a679 | No | 101 | 99.5¢ | $101 | New43 settled bets |
| organicpp0x03d6…0e03 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | New30 settled bets |
| tellastory0x09df…2933 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | New42 settled bets |
| sigesige0x4eae…daf1 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | New42 settled bets |
| bbk0x73a0…907b | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | New45 settled bets |
| czz0x9c65…adad | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| aptoss0xb9da…508b | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| tencent-9780xf589…9d0e | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 27,987 | 0.2¢ | $98 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| primogenitor0xf819…6b50 | Yes | 25,638 | 0.3¢ | $90 | — |
| Olliii8010x9745…efe5 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.6¢ | $88 | — |
| nullptr00x7aba…9e7a | Yes | 24,243 | 1.0¢ | $85 | New0 settled bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 21,666 | 1.6¢ | $76 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 20,228 | 1.1¢ | $71 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| randomen0x665b…32b1 | Yes | 20,000 | 1.0¢ | $70 | New36 settled bets |
| steiner0x2dd1…7af0 | Yes | 19,000 | 0.4¢ | $66 | New46 settled bets |
| Zacceerie0xcadd…595c | Yes | 16,751 | 0.8¢ | $59 | — |
| looneyloom0xb995…9654 | Yes | 15,030 | 1.5¢ | $53 | — |
| fofoot0x6537…62b5 | Yes | 14,286 | 0.7¢ | $50 | New11 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 13,030 | 0.9¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| Goat85240xf861…681f | Yes | 11,430 | 0.8¢ | $40 | — |
| aaaa1!0x0fbf…06d4 | Yes | 11,111 | 0.9¢ | $39 | New46 settled bets |
| jesuschroist0xf90b…bd1c | Yes | 10,410 | 0.6¢ | $36 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,578 bets |
| SPX6900enjoyer0x3f17…6bc6 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.7¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 216 bets |
| CarolBeer0x8fce…2566 | Yes | 8,500 | 0.5¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xfb19…cd27 | Yes | 8,333 | 0.6¢ | $29 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 7,693 | 0.8¢ | $27 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,251 | 0.6¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0x5489…1633 | Yes | 7,143 | 1.5¢ | $25 | Losing−$26.65 per $100 · 177 bets |
| 0xb57e…70e8 | Yes | 6,800 | 0.6¢ | $24 | — |
| cockbrain0x2f1f…085b | Yes | 6,761 | 0.7¢ | $24 | Losing−$39.64 per $100 · 141 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $23 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| verbo0x4d01…992b | Yes | 6,111 | 0.2¢ | $21 | New12 settled bets |
| Orbal0x97f7…48f7 | Yes | 5,807 | 0.7¢ | $20 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 5,768 | 2.6¢ | $20 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 365,910+ bets · updating |
| dcaSPX69000x8adf…764e | Yes | 5,400 | 0.7¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xd85c…f69c | Yes | 5,143 | 2.0¢ | $18 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 670 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.