Yolanda Díaz

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.7¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.§1

No PM by deadline

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§4

No confidence vote

Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count.§3

Counted

The individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, forming a new government.§2

Source

Primary source is official information from the Government of Spain; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§5

Closes

Apr 1, 2028 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80.5¢
• Pedro Sánchez 15.4¢
• Santiago Abascal 2.7¢
• Carlos Cuerpo 0.8¢
• Isabel Díaz Ayuso 0.8¢
• Yolanda Díaz 0.2¢
• María Jesús Montero 0.1¢
• Ernest Urtasun 0.1¢
• Aitor Esteban 0.1¢
• Miguel Tellado 0.1¢
• Ester Muñoz 0.1¢
• Pepa Millán 0.1¢

4 more outcomes in this event.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.